ADVERTISEMENT

Ketch's 10 Thoughts From The Weekend (Texas should make the CFP this season...)

@Ketchum impressive stuff sir. Recruiting overload and a Phil C list to boot. Standing ovation sir
Leonardo Dicaprio Applause GIF
 
  • Love
Reactions: Ketchum
Does RT fall on the sword about the horns down thing if he doesn’t beat Baylor?
 
My only issue with the blue chip analysis is that you require either a recruitment or transfer to dictate a ranking. For example had Jaylon Ford transferred after last season he would have been a sure-fire super blue chip. But, by staying, you would default to his high school ranking which would indicate he doesn’t fall in the super blue chip category. On the other side, you don’t account for guys who simply haven’t lived up to their ranking. Example, Connor Weigman. If he were to enter the portal, I do not believe that any service would rank him as a super blue chip player. I understand what you did overall and always appreciate a great deep-dive, but the analysis needs some tweaking.
 
I know I’m a few weeks late but I just thought of a super rememberable TV show song.

Happy Days!
 
  • Like
Reactions: Ketchum
My only issue with the blue chip analysis is that you require either a recruitment or transfer to dictate a ranking. For example had Jaylon Ford transferred after last season he would have been a sure-fire super blue chip. But, by staying, you would default to his high school ranking which would indicate he doesn’t fall in the super blue chip category. On the other side, you don’t account for guys who simply haven’t lived up to their ranking. Example, Connor Weigman. If he were to enter the portal, I do not believe that any service would rank him as a super blue chip player. I understand what you did overall and always appreciate a great deep-dive, but the analysis needs some tweaking.
At that point the analysis just becomes a subjective measure of how good do you think each player is. It defeats the purpose of the analysis.
 
  • Like
Reactions: TexasRads1
ee0e3a40b744e2eebc3b4d949eaa9055x.jpg

I went down the damn rabbit hole this weekend and I can only hope the effort was worth it.

Considering the final rankings for the 2024 recruiting year aren't complete and big-time players are still entering the Portal, the reality is that I'm going to need to update the data in a week or two.

Yet, folks were asking about the updated Super Blue Chip rankings and I have to admit … I was kind of wondering how the rankings looked as well.

Therefore, into the recruiting rankings abyss I leaped, but this time I decided to add a twist ... I included the rankings from all of the major services ... Rivals, 247, On3 and ESPN. For those keeping score, here were the blue chips that were used in compiling the data:

2024: Rivals (6.0+), 247 (95+), ESPN (85+), On3 (95+)
2023: Rivals (6.0+), 247 (96+), ESPN (86+), On3 (96+)
2022: Rivals (6.0+), 247 (96+), ESPN (86+), On3 (96+)
2021: Rivals (6.0+), 247 (96+), ESPN (86+), On3 (96+)
2020: Rivals (6.0+), 247 (96+), ESPN (86+), On3 (No rankings)

What I tried to do was keep the numbers as similar to the total number of prospects that usually make up the top two tiers of the rankings (5 stars and high 4-stars), which typically totals somewhere between 65-69 prospects each season. Two quick notes ...

a. Each service has fewer 2024 prospects listed in its highest tiers, but that should flatten out when each service releases its final rankings now that all of the post-season bowl games have been completed.

b. Each service has a different number of players ranked among its top tiers. In 2001, Rivals had 63 players with at least a 6.0+ grade, while On3 had 71 players with a 96+ grade, 247 had 66 players with a 96+ rankings and ESPN had 76 players with a 86+ ranking. The numbers slightly fluctuate with each service in all of the years sampled.

What I ended up creating was two sets of numbers, starting with ...

Consensus Super Blue Chip Rankings

Can a player really be a super blue chip prospect if only one of the four services views him as a super blue chip prospect?

I decided that it would be fun to see what the numbers look like if we counted only players that were ranked as a super blue chip prospect by at least two of the four services. The same is true with transfers, as an incoming transfer had to be ranked in the top 32 by at least two services.

After years of domination by Alabama and Georgia, there's a new leader in the clubhouse.

420828978_264064643365697_8400841727712358615_n.png


Super Blue Chips (Mass Quantities)

This is what the numbers look like when we include every single prospect that was ranked as a Super Blue Chip, whether it was by all four services or just one.

For instance, Colin Simmons counts towards the 2024 numbers with a super blue chip ranking by all four services, while Jerrick Gibson makes the list with only ESPN labeling him as a super blue chip.

There are only four schools in the nation with 30 or more super blue chip prospects across all services and Steve Sarkisian has his Longhorns in that group in pretty short order.

420464759_1527503631371718_1237361927050830546_n.png


No. 2 - Breaking down the Consensus Super Blue Chip Chart ...

In case any of you wondered what the world looked like, here's the full breakdown of the top 10 schools in the updated Super Duper Blue Chip Chart.

(Feel free to skip to section 3 if this is too much for you.)

1. Ohio State

Total number of super blue chips: 29

Transfers: (5) 2023 CB Davison Igbinosun (Ole Miss - 247/On3), 2024 DB Caleb Downs (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2024 RB Quinshon Judkins (Ole Miss - Rivals/247/On3), 2024 QB Will Howard (Kansas State - Rivals/On3) and 2024 QB Julian Sayin (Ohio State - Rivals/247/On3)

2024: (6) WR Jeremiah Smith (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DB Aaron Scott (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), WR Mylan Graham (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), QB Air Noland (Rivals/247/ESPN), DE Eddrick Houston (Rivals/247//ESPN) and DB Bryce West (Rivals/ESPN)

2023: (6) WR Carnell Tate (Rivals/247/On3), WR Brandon Inniss (Rivals/247/ESPN)), DT Jason Moore (Rivals/247), DB Jermaine Matthews (Rivals/On3/ESPN), DB Calvin Simpson-Hunt (Rivals/On3), and WR Noah Rogers (247/On3/ESPN)

2022: (4) LB CJ Hicks (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), Ath Alex Styles (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), QB Devin Brown (Rivals/247/On3/) and DE Kenyatta Jackson (Rivals/On3)

2021: (7) OL Donovan Jackson (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), WR Emeka Egbuke (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DE JT Tuimoloau (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DE Jack Sawyer (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), RB TreVeyon Henderson (247/On3/ESPN), CB Jordan Hancock (247/On3) and WR Jayden Ballard (247/On3/ESPN)

2020: (1) WR Gee Scott Jr. (Rivals/247)

Transferred Out/No Longer in the Program: (5) 2022 Edge (247/ESPN), 2021 QB Quinn Ewers (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2021 CB JK Johnson (Rivals/On3), 2021 QB Kyle McCord (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and 2020 WR Julian Fleming (Rivals/247/ESPN)

Transfer Rate: 13.9%

In the NFL: (4) 2021 DL MIke Hall (On3/247), 2020 OL Paris Johnson (Rivals/247/ESPN), 2020 WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba (Rivals/247) and 2020 QB CJ Stroud (Rivals/247)

2. Georgia

Total number of super blue chips: 26

Transfers: (2) 2023 WR Dominic Lovett (Missouri - Rivals/247/On3) and 2024 RB Trevor Etienne (Florida - Rivals/247/On3)

2024: (6) DB Ellis Robinson (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), LB Justin Williams (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DB K.J. Bolden (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DL Joseph Jonah-Ajonye (247/On3/ESPN), LB Chris Cole (247/On3/ESPN) and TE Jaden Reddell (On3/ESPN)

2023: (9) DE Samuel M'Pemba (Rivals/ESPN), DE Damon Wilson (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DT Jordan Hall (Rivals/247/On3), DB A.J. Harris (Rivals/247/ESPN), OL Monroe Freeling (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), LB Raylen Wilson (247/On3/ESPN), S Joenel Aguero (247/On3/ESPN), LB Troy Bowles (247/ESPN) and TE Pearce Spurlin (Rivals/On3)

2022: (7) DB Jaheim Singletary (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DL Mykel Williams (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DB Daylen Everette (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DB Malaki Starks (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), RB Brandon Robinson (Rivals/ESPN), OL Earnest Greene (Rivals/247/On3) and LB Jalon Walker (247/On3/ESPN)

2021: (1) LB Smael Mondon (247/On3/ESPN)

2020: (1) WR Arian Smith (247/ESPN)

Transferred Out/No Longer in the Program: (6) 2022 Bear Alexander (Rivals/On3/ESPN), 2022 LB Marvin Jones Jr. (Rivals/247/On3), 2021 QB Brock Vandagriff (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2021 LB Xavian Sorey (Rivals/247/ESPN), 2021 DB Nyland Green (247/On3), 2020 LB MJ Sherman (Rivals/ESPN)

Transfer Rate: 15.8%

In the NFL: (6) 2021 TE Brock Bowers (ON3/247), 2021 OL Amarius Sims (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2020 CB Kelee Ringo (Rivals/247/ESPN), 2020 OL Broderick Jones (Rivals/247ESPN), 2020 DL Jalen Carter (Rivals/247/ESPN) and 2020 TE Darnell Washington (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN)

3. Alabama

Total number of super blue chips: 23

Transfers: (2) CB Domani Jackson (RivalsOn3) and DL LT Overton (Texas A&M - Rivals/247)

2024: (3) DB Jaylen Mbakwe (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DB Zabien Brown (Rivals/247) and TE Caleb Odom (247/On3)

2023: (8) DE Yhonzae Pierre (Rivals/247/On3), DE Keon Kelly (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DB Jahlil Hurley (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), WR Jalen Hale (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), RB Justice Haynes (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DT James Smith (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DE Qua Russaw (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and DL Jordan Renaud (ON3/ESPN)

2022: (6) DE Jeremiah Alexander (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), LB Jihaad Campbell (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), WR Emmanuel Henderson (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), QB Ty Simpson (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), OL Tyler Booker (247/On3/ESPN) and DL Khurtis Perry (247/ESPN)

2021: (3) LB Keanu Koht (Rivals/247/On3), LB Deontae Lawson (On3/247) and DT Damon Payne (Rivals/247/ESPN)

2020: (1) DT Tim Smith (Rivals/247)

Transferred Out/No Longer in the Program: (18) 2024 QB Julian Sayin (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2023 DB Caleb Downs (Rivals/247/ESPN), 2023 OL Kadyn Proctor (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2023 DB Dezz Ricks (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2022 WR Aaron Anderson (Rivals/247/On3), 2022 WR Shazz Preston (Rivals/ESPN), 2022 WR Isaiah Bond (On3/247), 2022 LB Shawn Murphy (Rivals/ESPN), 2022 OL Elijah Pritchett (Rivals/247/On3), 2021 OL Tommy Brockermeyer (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2021 WR Agiye Hall (On3/ESPN), 2021 RB Camar Wheaton (Rivals/247/ESPN), 2021 WR Jojo Earle (Rivals/On3/ESPN), 2021 Christian Leary (Rivals/On3), 2021 DL Monkell Goodwine (Rivals/On3), 2021 WR Ja'Corey Brooks (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2020 LB Drew Sanders (Rivals/247/ESPN) and 2020 LB Demouy Kennedy (Rivals/247)

Transfer Rate: 37.5%

Headed to the In the NFL: (9) Transfer WR Jermaine Burton, 2021 OL J.C. Latham (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2021 DB Kool-Aid McKinstry (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2021 LB Dallas Turner (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2021 DB Terrion Arnold (Rivals/247/On3), 2020 DE Will Anderson (Rivals/247/ESPN), 2020 QB Bryce Young (Rivals/247/ESPN), 2020 LB Chris Braswell (Rivals/247/ESPN) and 2020 Jase McClellan (Rivals/ESPN)

4. Texas

Total number of super blue chips: 21

Transfers: (4) 2023 QB Quinn Ewers (Ohio State - 247/On3), 2024 WR Isaiah Bond (Alabama - Rivals/247/On3), 2024 DB Andrew Mukuba (Clemson - Rivals/247/On3) and 2024 DE Trey Moore (UTSA - 247/On3)

2024: (5) DE Colin Simmons (Rivals/247/On3/ESP)), OL Brandon Baker (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), WR Ryan Wingo (Rivals/247/ESPN), CB Kobe Black (Rivals/247/ESPN) and DB Xavier Filsaime (Rivals/247/ESPN)

2023: (7) QB Arch Manning (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), WR Johntay Cook (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), LB Anthony Hill (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), RB Cedric Baxter (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DB Malik Muhammad (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), S Derek Williams (247/On3/ESPN) and Ath Jelani McDonald (247/On3)

2022: (4) OL DJ Campbell (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), OL Kelvin Banks (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) , CB Terrance Brooks (Rivals/On3) and OL Neto Umeozulu (On3/ESPN)

2021: None

2020: (1) DL Alfred Collins (247/ESPN)

Transferred Out/No Longer in the Program: (1) Ja'Quinden Jackson (247/ESPN)

Transfer Rate: 4.00%

In the NFL: (4) Transfer WR Adonai Mitchell, 2021 TE Ja'Tavian Sanders (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2021 WR Xavier Worthy (On3/ESPN) and 2020 RB Bijan Robinson (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN)

5. Texas A&M

Total number of super blue chips: 14

Transfers: (2) DE Nic Scourton (Purdue - Rivals/247/On37) and DB Desmond Ricks (Alabama - Rivals/247)

2024: (1) Ath Terry Bussey (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN)

2023: (3) DT David Hicks Jr. (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), RB Rueben Owens (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and OL Chase Bisontis (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN)

2022: (6) DB Jacoby Matthews (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DL Shemar Stewart (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), QB Conner Weigman (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DT Gabriel Brownlow-Dindy (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DE Enai White (247/On3/ESPN) and DB Bryce Anderson (247/On3/ESPN)

2021: (2) DL Shemar Turner (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and OL Reuben Fatheree II (Rivals/On3)

2020: None

Transferred Out/No Longer in the Program: (11) 2022 DL Walter Nolan (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2022 WR Evan Stewart (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2022 DE Lebbeus Overton (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2022 CB Denver Harris (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2022 DL Anthony Lucas (Rivals/247/On3), 2022 WR Chris Marshall (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2022 OL PJ Williams (247/ESPN), 2021 RB LJ Johnson (Rivals/247), 2021 DE Tunmise Adeleye (Rivals/ESPN), 2020 WR Demond Demas (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and 2020 DE Donell Harris (Rivals/247)

Transfer Rate: 42.3%

In the NFL: (2) 2020 DB Jaylon Jones (Rivals/247/ESPN) and 2020 DB Antonio Johnson (Rivals/247)

6. Miami

Total number of super blue chips: 11

Transfers: (2) 2023 OL Javion Cohen (Alabama - Rivals/247/On3) and 2024 QB Cameron Ward (Washington State - Rivals/247/On3)

2024: (6) DB Zaquan Patterson (Rivals/247), DT Justin Scott (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DE Armondo Blount (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), WR Joshisa Trader (Rivals/ESPN), WR Ny Carr (Rivals/247/ESPN) and Edge Marquise Lightfoot (On3/247)

2023: (3) OL Francis Mauigoa (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), OL Samson Okunlola (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and DT Rueben Bain (Rivals/247/ESPN)

2022: None

2021: None

2020: None

Transferred Out/No Longer in the Program: (2) 2020 DB Avante Williams (Rivals/ESPN) and 2021 QB Jake Garcia (Rivals/ESPN)

Transfer Rate: 14.3%

In the NFL: (2) 2021 DB James Williams (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and 2021 DT Leonard Taylor (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN)

T7. Clemson

Total number of super blue chips: 10

Transfers: None

2024: (2) LB Sammy Brown (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and WR Bryant Wesco (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN)

2023: (3) DT Peter Woods (Rivals/247/ESPN), DE Tomarrion Parker (Rivals/247) and DL Vic Burley (247/ESPN)

2022: (2) QB Cade Klubnik (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and DB Jeadyn Lukus (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN)

2021: (2) LB Barrett Carter (Rivals/247/On3) and OL Tristan Leigh (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN)

2020: (1) DT Demonte Capehart (Rivals/247/ESPN)

Transferred Out/No Longer in the Program: (4) 2022 CB Toriano Pride (247/On3), 2021 WR Beaux Collins (Rivals/ESPN), 2020 RB Demarkus Bowman (Rivals/247/ESPN) and 2020 QB D.J. Uiagalelei (Rivals/247/ESPN)

Transfer Rate: 21.1%

In the NFL: (5) 2021 RB Will Shipley (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2021 LB Jeremiah Trotter (247/On3/ESPN), 2020 DT Bryan Breese (Rivals/247/ESPN), 2020 DE Myles Murphy (Rivals/247/ESPN) and 2020 LB Trenton Simpson (Rivals/247)'

T7. Oklahoma:

Total number of super blue chips: 10

Transfers: (1) 2023 DE Dasan McCulloch (Indiana - Rivals/247/On3)

2024: (2) DT David Stone (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and RB Taylor Tatum (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN)

2023: (5) QB Jackson Arnold (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DB Peyton Bowen (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DE Adepoju Adebawore (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), LB Samuel Omosigho (247/On3), WR Jaquaize Pettaway (247/ESPN)

2022: (1) CB Gentry Williams (On3/ESPN)

2021: (1) DB Billy Bowman (Rivals/247)

2020: None

Transferred Out/No Longer in the Program: (5) 2023 OL Cayden Green (Rivals/ESPN), 2021 LB Clayton Smith (Rivals/247/On3), 2021 QB Caleb Williams (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2021 WR Mario Williams (Rivals/On3/ESPN), and 2020 OL Nate Anderson (247/ESPN)

Transfer Rate: 31.3%

In the NFL: 2020 OT Andrew Raym (247/ESPN)

T7. Oregon:

Total number of super blue chips: 10

Transfers: (4) 2023 DE Jordan Burch (South Carolina - Rivals/247). 2024 WR Evan Stewart (Texas A&M - Rivals/247/On3), 2024 QB Dante Moore (UCLA - Rivals/247) and 2024 QB Dillon Gabriel (OU - Rivals/On3)

2024: (2) Edge Elijah Rushing (247/ESPN) and DL Aydin Breland (247ESPN))

2023: (2) DE Matayo Uiagalelei (Rivals/247/ESPN) and Jurrian Dickey (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN)

2022: (1) OL Josh Conerly Jr. (Rivals/247/ESPN)

2021: (0) None

2020: (1) DB Donta Manning (Rivals/247/ESPN)

Transferred Out/No Longer in the Program: (4) 2021 QB Ty Thompson (Rivals/On3/ESPN), 2021 OL Kingsley Suamataia (Rivals/247/On3), 2022 CB Jalil Yucker (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), and 2020 LB Justin Flowe (Rivals/247/ESPN)

Transfer Rate: 23.5%

In the NFL: (2) 2021 WR Troy Franklin (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and 2020 LB Noah Sewell (Rivals/247/ESPN)

10. LSU

Total number of super blue chips: 9

Transfers: (2) 2023 WR Aaron Anderson (Alabama - Rivals/247/On3)

2024: (2) DT Dominick McKinley (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and TE Trey'Dez Green (Rivals/247/On3)

2023: (2) DB Javien Toviano (Rivals/247/ESPN) and Edge Dashawn Womack (247/On3/ESPN)

2022: (2) LB Harold Perkins (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and OL Will Campbell (Rivals/247/ESPN)

2021: (2) DT Maaron Smith (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and DB Sage Ryan (Rivals/247/ESPN),

2020: None

Transferred Out/No Longer in the Program: (6) 2023 OL Zalance Heard (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2022 DE Quency Wiggins (Rivals/247), 2022 QB Walker Howard (Rivals/ESPN), 2020 TE Arik Gilbert (Rivals/247/ESPN) and 2020 DB Eli Ricks (Rivals/247/ESPN)

Transfer Rate: 31.6%

In the NFL: (3) 2020 WR Kayshon Boutte (Rivals/247/ESPN), 2021 DL Jaquelin Roy (247/ESPN), 2020 Edge BJ Ojulari (247)

No. 3 - Breaking Down Transfer Rates ...

Using the data from the pool of players that make up the Mega list (every single super blue chip by every single service), here's a look at the transfer rates of super blue chips from high school recruiting.

The thing you'll notice about this set of numbers is that a coaching change is almost always going to do a number on a school's numbers.

Note: Texas ranks 16th among schools with 10+ super blue chips with an 11.1% transfer rate. The Longhorns actually have a 0.00% transfer rate among consensus super blue chips (ranked by multiple services)

420502414_3387363744836186_1682550984929620556_n.png


No. 4 - Setting the record straight ...

One thing you commonly hear from detractors of the Portal is that it's a system that's unevenly weighted in favor of the big boys of college football.

The numbers expose that suggestion to be a falsehood. The reality is that the Portal is the closest thing to socialism that college football has ever seen with regard to talent distribution.

Take a look at the breakdown of Rivals top 50 commitments from the Portal:

420649398_376483538354140_5868723491743143154_n.jpg


In what other world is Purdue and TCU landing the same number of high-end talents as Alabama? A look at the numbers will show you that Duke and Tulane have the same number of top-50 transfers as Georgia and Notre Dame.

Even if you look at the very top of the list with schools like Oregon, Ole Miss and Texas, we're merely talking about a difference of a couple of players vs. the rest of their peers who are active in the Portal.

There are issues with the Portal that need to be addressed, but the fairness of talent distribution simply isn't one of them. If anything, it gives schools that almost never have a chance to land a top-50 prospect in high school recruiting to have a fairer shot at bringing in high-end talent.

No. 5 - Texas Transfer Rankings ...

Here's a look at the ranking of each Texas transfer addition:

WR - Isaiah Bond (Alabama)

Rivals: No. 14 overall, No. 2 WR
On3 - No. 7 overall, No. 3 WR
247 - No. 4 overall, No.1 WR

WR - Matthew Golden (Houston)

Rivals: No. 49 overall, No. 9 WR
On3 - No. 56 overall, No. 12 WR
247 - No. 42 overall, No. 7 WR

WR - Silas Bolden (Oregon State)

Rivals: No. 253 overall, No. 48 WR
On3 - No. 103 overall, No. 20 WR
247 - No. 119 overall, No. 25 WR

TE - Amari Niblack

Rivals: No. 41 overall, No. 1 TE
On3 - No. 37 overall, No. 1 TE
247 - No. 30 overall, No. 1 TE

Edge - Trey Moore (UTSA)

Rivals: No. 59 overall, No. 5 LB
On3 - No. 8 overall, No. 2 Edge
247 - No. 20 overall, No. 4 Edge

LB - Kendrick Blackshire (Alabama)

Rivals: No. 924 overall, No. 98 LB
On3 - No. 322 overall, No. 31 LB
247 - No. 254 overall, No. 21 WR

DB - Andrew Mukuba (Clemson)

Rivals: No. 25 overall, No. 6 DB
On3 - No. 44 overall, No. 3 S
247 - No. 25 overall, No. 2 S

No. 6 - Six Random Longhorns Scattershots...

a. It sounds like Rod Wright has done everything possible to keep his focus on the Houston Texans, but now that the NFL season is over, I'm expecting an announcement for him as the new DL coach in the next 24-48 hours.

b. If you read my Instant Analysis, you'll know I pretty much love new 2025 commitment Lance Jackson. Although he's not yet ranked as a super blue chip by the national services, I believe that's where his ranking will eventually settle.

c. Junior Days sure hit different when you enter them with expectations of almost a minimal amount of action to actually occur. Hell, we didn't even have the staged photos to laugh at this weekend.

d. I don't know if Rodney Terry needed to say he was sorry on Saturday for the whole "Horns Down" mini-controversy from earlier in the week, but that he fell on the sword shows that he's a pretty good dude and easy to root for. Honestly, I didn't think it was that big of a deal.

e. Say it with me... (Tiaoalii Savea) Tee-Oh-Uh-Lee-E-Saw-Vay-Uh.

f. I still think Texas is the favorite for Washington transfer CB Jabbar Muhammad, but Oregon might throw a Brinks truck at him.

No. 7 – Updated Texas Scholarship Board …

The Longhorns are sitting at 88 at the moment.

415798339_360386893601660_1558232520704743359_n.png


No. 8 – BUY or SELL …

giphy.gif




(Buy) I think Texas is about to fill some of the needs in the next month, but some of the needs might be filled in the spring.



(Buy) Everything about that situation is ick and there's only so much ick that Texas athletics should live with. BTW, whatever happened to the audio that would clear him? Screw that dude.



(Buy) The talent is there to make a run at it.



(Sell) Not for me. I'm all for second chances (in time), but a scholarship at Texas represents a first chance.



(Sell) I think he's taking an NFL job. I'm surprised that he's not been named the Chargers coach.



(Buy) Yes, it won't be just three dudes and an occasional snap for No. 4 next year.



(Buy) It's either him or his cousin.



(Buy) Probably. I've had about 20 questions today asking if I think this offense is better than last year's.



(Buy) Maybe not be in a huge role, but I could see him getting 150-200 snaps.



(Buy) Probably.



(Sell) Bad ass players want to play with bad ass players. Did you see how many super blue chips that Georgia has?



(Sell) Strong-side ends.



(Sell) Mack literally psyched opposing coaches out to the point that they wouldn't even decide who to recruit until after Mack selected who he wanted. That's not hyperbole.

No. 9 – Scattershooting on anything and everything …

... Good season, Texans. Getting outclassed by the No. 1 seed in the second half of the Division Round is nothing to shake your head at. It happens. Deep down, I'm quite envious of your potential future.

... Was that the Lamar Jackson playoff breakout game we've all been waiting for?

... I enjoyed Baker Mayfield's season ending with him throwing for an interception. Am I a bad person?

... Jahmyr Gibbs is closer to Bijan Robinson as a player than I would have ever guessed.

... I could really do without the Cowboys jokes that have come with the Detroit win...

... What on earth was Jordan Love thinking by throwing the ball? Live to play another down, my man.

... I still doubt Brock Purdy and nothing about the game against the Packers was overly convincing.

... Looks like former Alabama OL Kadyn Proctor is happy to be home in Iowa. Good for him.

... Is this the year that Bayern Munich gets toppled in the Bundesliga and is it going to be someone other than Dortmund that does it? All eyes remain on you, Bayern Leverkusen?

... Dana White likely won't let it happen, but my biggest takeaway from UFV 207 was that new champion Dricus Du Plessis and dethroned champion Sean Strickland should immediately fight again.

... It's a life-changing moment for Lane.


... I don't care, she can do whatever she wants...


No. 10 - Phil Collins Top 10 Songs ...

It's been too long since I've spent a week listening to the world's No. 1 collector of all things Alamo-related.

Let's do this!

Honorable Mention: A Groovy Kind of Love, The Roof Is Leaking, Don't Lose My Number, Separate Lives, Two Hearts, Can't Stop Loving You, If Leaving Me Is Easy and I Missed Again

10. You Can't Hurry Love

Phil covering the Diana Ross and the Supremes classic? Yes, please.

9. Susssudio

I was today's years old when I learned that some people think this song sounds like Price's 1999.

8. Take Me Home

It was a show-closer at his concerts for a long time. Maybe ranked too low?

7. I Don't Care Any More

Phil let his ex have it on this one.

6. One More Night

One of the best songs on nearly a perfect album - No Jacket Required.

5. I Wish It Would Rain Down

One of the rare times when the guitar overshadows the drums in a Collins hit. He can thank Eric Clapton for that.

4. Another Day in Paradise

The best song about homelessness ever written?

3. Easy Lover

Pound for pound, it might be the No. 1 banger in his entire catalog.

2. Against All Odds

My personal favorite Collins song and one of my go-to karaoke songs.

1. In the Air Tonight

If aliens came down and asked to hear the best Phil Collins song, we'd give them the one that YouTubers lost their minds to the most.
As a charter member of the Genesis / Phil Collin’s - UT branch, I give you an A+. Have seen every Genesis or Phil Collin’s tour since 1977 ! Shame the last (2) Genesis tours never made it to Texas. That said, it was fun to travel to see the shows in 2007 and 2022. Your Honorable Mention choices are spot on ! Still remember going to see Against All Offs in the theatre in the early 1980’s and being so pleased that Phil’s career was about to expand outside of Genesis. The underwater scene with Rachel Ward in the movie was memorable too
 
  • Like
Reactions: Debogail
Tell us a story!
I was a little too young to be told stories back then. I really should ask my aunt

My uncle passed early and Genesis paid for both my cousins to go to university. Just a great group of guys

My aunt has lots of thoughts around his ex wives and lots of explicatives to go along with that

I have a picture of me and Phil on Twitter

 
ee0e3a40b744e2eebc3b4d949eaa9055x.jpg

I went down the damn rabbit hole this weekend and I can only hope the effort was worth it.

Considering the final rankings for the 2024 recruiting year aren't complete and big-time players are still entering the Portal, the reality is that I'm going to need to update the data in a week or two.

Yet, folks were asking about the updated Super Blue Chip rankings and I have to admit … I was kind of wondering how the rankings looked as well.

Therefore, into the recruiting rankings abyss I leaped, but this time I decided to add a twist ... I included the rankings from all of the major services ... Rivals, 247, On3 and ESPN. For those keeping score, here were the blue chips that were used in compiling the data:

2024: Rivals (6.0+), 247 (95+), ESPN (85+), On3 (95+)
2023: Rivals (6.0+), 247 (96+), ESPN (86+), On3 (96+)
2022: Rivals (6.0+), 247 (96+), ESPN (86+), On3 (96+)
2021: Rivals (6.0+), 247 (96+), ESPN (86+), On3 (96+)
2020: Rivals (6.0+), 247 (96+), ESPN (86+), On3 (No rankings)

What I tried to do was keep the numbers as similar to the total number of prospects that usually make up the top two tiers of the rankings (5 stars and high 4-stars), which typically totals somewhere between 65-69 prospects each season. Two quick notes ...

a. Each service has fewer 2024 prospects listed in its highest tiers, but that should flatten out when each service releases its final rankings now that all of the post-season bowl games have been completed.

b. Each service has a different number of players ranked among its top tiers. In 2001, Rivals had 63 players with at least a 6.0+ grade, while On3 had 71 players with a 96+ grade, 247 had 66 players with a 96+ rankings and ESPN had 76 players with a 86+ ranking. The numbers slightly fluctuate with each service in all of the years sampled.

What I ended up creating was two sets of numbers, starting with ...

Consensus Super Blue Chip Rankings

Can a player really be a super blue chip prospect if only one of the four services views him as a super blue chip prospect?

I decided that it would be fun to see what the numbers look like if we counted only players that were ranked as a super blue chip prospect by at least two of the four services. The same is true with transfers, as an incoming transfer had to be ranked in the top 32 by at least two services.

After years of domination by Alabama and Georgia, there's a new leader in the clubhouse.

420828978_264064643365697_8400841727712358615_n.png


Super Blue Chips (Mass Quantities)

This is what the numbers look like when we include every single prospect that was ranked as a Super Blue Chip, whether it was by all four services or just one.

For instance, Colin Simmons counts towards the 2024 numbers with a super blue chip ranking by all four services, while Jerrick Gibson makes the list with only ESPN labeling him as a super blue chip.

There are only four schools in the nation with 30 or more super blue chip prospects across all services and Steve Sarkisian has his Longhorns in that group in pretty short order.

420464759_1527503631371718_1237361927050830546_n.png


No. 2 - Breaking down the Consensus Super Blue Chip Chart ...

In case any of you wondered what the world looked like, here's the full breakdown of the top 10 schools in the updated Super Duper Blue Chip Chart.

(Feel free to skip to section 3 if this is too much for you.)

1. Ohio State

Total number of super blue chips: 29

Transfers: (5) 2023 CB Davison Igbinosun (Ole Miss - 247/On3), 2024 DB Caleb Downs (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2024 RB Quinshon Judkins (Ole Miss - Rivals/247/On3), 2024 QB Will Howard (Kansas State - Rivals/On3) and 2024 QB Julian Sayin (Ohio State - Rivals/247/On3)

2024: (6) WR Jeremiah Smith (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DB Aaron Scott (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), WR Mylan Graham (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), QB Air Noland (Rivals/247/ESPN), DE Eddrick Houston (Rivals/247//ESPN) and DB Bryce West (Rivals/ESPN)

2023: (6) WR Carnell Tate (Rivals/247/On3), WR Brandon Inniss (Rivals/247/ESPN)), DT Jason Moore (Rivals/247), DB Jermaine Matthews (Rivals/On3/ESPN), DB Calvin Simpson-Hunt (Rivals/On3), and WR Noah Rogers (247/On3/ESPN)

2022: (4) LB CJ Hicks (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), Ath Alex Styles (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), QB Devin Brown (Rivals/247/On3/) and DE Kenyatta Jackson (Rivals/On3)

2021: (7) OL Donovan Jackson (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), WR Emeka Egbuke (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DE JT Tuimoloau (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DE Jack Sawyer (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), RB TreVeyon Henderson (247/On3/ESPN), CB Jordan Hancock (247/On3) and WR Jayden Ballard (247/On3/ESPN)

2020: (1) WR Gee Scott Jr. (Rivals/247)

Transferred Out/No Longer in the Program: (5) 2022 Edge (247/ESPN), 2021 QB Quinn Ewers (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2021 CB JK Johnson (Rivals/On3), 2021 QB Kyle McCord (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and 2020 WR Julian Fleming (Rivals/247/ESPN)

Transfer Rate: 13.9%

In the NFL: (4) 2021 DL MIke Hall (On3/247), 2020 OL Paris Johnson (Rivals/247/ESPN), 2020 WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba (Rivals/247) and 2020 QB CJ Stroud (Rivals/247)

2. Georgia

Total number of super blue chips: 26

Transfers: (2) 2023 WR Dominic Lovett (Missouri - Rivals/247/On3) and 2024 RB Trevor Etienne (Florida - Rivals/247/On3)

2024: (6) DB Ellis Robinson (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), LB Justin Williams (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DB K.J. Bolden (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DL Joseph Jonah-Ajonye (247/On3/ESPN), LB Chris Cole (247/On3/ESPN) and TE Jaden Reddell (On3/ESPN)

2023: (9) DE Samuel M'Pemba (Rivals/ESPN), DE Damon Wilson (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DT Jordan Hall (Rivals/247/On3), DB A.J. Harris (Rivals/247/ESPN), OL Monroe Freeling (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), LB Raylen Wilson (247/On3/ESPN), S Joenel Aguero (247/On3/ESPN), LB Troy Bowles (247/ESPN) and TE Pearce Spurlin (Rivals/On3)

2022: (7) DB Jaheim Singletary (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DL Mykel Williams (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DB Daylen Everette (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DB Malaki Starks (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), RB Brandon Robinson (Rivals/ESPN), OL Earnest Greene (Rivals/247/On3) and LB Jalon Walker (247/On3/ESPN)

2021: (1) LB Smael Mondon (247/On3/ESPN)

2020: (1) WR Arian Smith (247/ESPN)

Transferred Out/No Longer in the Program: (6) 2022 Bear Alexander (Rivals/On3/ESPN), 2022 LB Marvin Jones Jr. (Rivals/247/On3), 2021 QB Brock Vandagriff (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2021 LB Xavian Sorey (Rivals/247/ESPN), 2021 DB Nyland Green (247/On3), 2020 LB MJ Sherman (Rivals/ESPN)

Transfer Rate: 15.8%

In the NFL: (6) 2021 TE Brock Bowers (ON3/247), 2021 OL Amarius Sims (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2020 CB Kelee Ringo (Rivals/247/ESPN), 2020 OL Broderick Jones (Rivals/247ESPN), 2020 DL Jalen Carter (Rivals/247/ESPN) and 2020 TE Darnell Washington (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN)

3. Alabama

Total number of super blue chips: 23

Transfers: (2) CB Domani Jackson (RivalsOn3) and DL LT Overton (Texas A&M - Rivals/247)

2024: (3) DB Jaylen Mbakwe (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DB Zabien Brown (Rivals/247) and TE Caleb Odom (247/On3)

2023: (8) DE Yhonzae Pierre (Rivals/247/On3), DE Keon Kelly (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DB Jahlil Hurley (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), WR Jalen Hale (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), RB Justice Haynes (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DT James Smith (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DE Qua Russaw (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and DL Jordan Renaud (ON3/ESPN)

2022: (6) DE Jeremiah Alexander (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), LB Jihaad Campbell (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), WR Emmanuel Henderson (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), QB Ty Simpson (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), OL Tyler Booker (247/On3/ESPN) and DL Khurtis Perry (247/ESPN)

2021: (3) LB Keanu Koht (Rivals/247/On3), LB Deontae Lawson (On3/247) and DT Damon Payne (Rivals/247/ESPN)

2020: (1) DT Tim Smith (Rivals/247)

Transferred Out/No Longer in the Program: (18) 2024 QB Julian Sayin (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2023 DB Caleb Downs (Rivals/247/ESPN), 2023 OL Kadyn Proctor (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2023 DB Dezz Ricks (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2022 WR Aaron Anderson (Rivals/247/On3), 2022 WR Shazz Preston (Rivals/ESPN), 2022 WR Isaiah Bond (On3/247), 2022 LB Shawn Murphy (Rivals/ESPN), 2022 OL Elijah Pritchett (Rivals/247/On3), 2021 OL Tommy Brockermeyer (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2021 WR Agiye Hall (On3/ESPN), 2021 RB Camar Wheaton (Rivals/247/ESPN), 2021 WR Jojo Earle (Rivals/On3/ESPN), 2021 Christian Leary (Rivals/On3), 2021 DL Monkell Goodwine (Rivals/On3), 2021 WR Ja'Corey Brooks (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2020 LB Drew Sanders (Rivals/247/ESPN) and 2020 LB Demouy Kennedy (Rivals/247)

Transfer Rate: 37.5%

Headed to the In the NFL: (9) Transfer WR Jermaine Burton, 2021 OL J.C. Latham (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2021 DB Kool-Aid McKinstry (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2021 LB Dallas Turner (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2021 DB Terrion Arnold (Rivals/247/On3), 2020 DE Will Anderson (Rivals/247/ESPN), 2020 QB Bryce Young (Rivals/247/ESPN), 2020 LB Chris Braswell (Rivals/247/ESPN) and 2020 Jase McClellan (Rivals/ESPN)

4. Texas

Total number of super blue chips: 21

Transfers: (4) 2023 QB Quinn Ewers (Ohio State - 247/On3), 2024 WR Isaiah Bond (Alabama - Rivals/247/On3), 2024 DB Andrew Mukuba (Clemson - Rivals/247/On3) and 2024 DE Trey Moore (UTSA - 247/On3)

2024: (5) DE Colin Simmons (Rivals/247/On3/ESP)), OL Brandon Baker (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), WR Ryan Wingo (Rivals/247/ESPN), CB Kobe Black (Rivals/247/ESPN) and DB Xavier Filsaime (Rivals/247/ESPN)

2023: (7) QB Arch Manning (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), WR Johntay Cook (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), LB Anthony Hill (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), RB Cedric Baxter (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DB Malik Muhammad (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), S Derek Williams (247/On3/ESPN) and Ath Jelani McDonald (247/On3)

2022: (4) OL DJ Campbell (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), OL Kelvin Banks (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) , CB Terrance Brooks (Rivals/On3) and OL Neto Umeozulu (On3/ESPN)

2021: None

2020: (1) DL Alfred Collins (247/ESPN)

Transferred Out/No Longer in the Program: (1) Ja'Quinden Jackson (247/ESPN)

Transfer Rate: 4.00%

In the NFL: (4) Transfer WR Adonai Mitchell, 2021 TE Ja'Tavian Sanders (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2021 WR Xavier Worthy (On3/ESPN) and 2020 RB Bijan Robinson (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN)

5. Texas A&M

Total number of super blue chips: 14

Transfers: (2) DE Nic Scourton (Purdue - Rivals/247/On37) and DB Desmond Ricks (Alabama - Rivals/247)

2024: (1) Ath Terry Bussey (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN)

2023: (3) DT David Hicks Jr. (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), RB Rueben Owens (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and OL Chase Bisontis (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN)

2022: (6) DB Jacoby Matthews (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DL Shemar Stewart (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), QB Conner Weigman (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DT Gabriel Brownlow-Dindy (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DE Enai White (247/On3/ESPN) and DB Bryce Anderson (247/On3/ESPN)

2021: (2) DL Shemar Turner (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and OL Reuben Fatheree II (Rivals/On3)

2020: None

Transferred Out/No Longer in the Program: (11) 2022 DL Walter Nolan (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2022 WR Evan Stewart (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2022 DE Lebbeus Overton (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2022 CB Denver Harris (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2022 DL Anthony Lucas (Rivals/247/On3), 2022 WR Chris Marshall (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2022 OL PJ Williams (247/ESPN), 2021 RB LJ Johnson (Rivals/247), 2021 DE Tunmise Adeleye (Rivals/ESPN), 2020 WR Demond Demas (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and 2020 DE Donell Harris (Rivals/247)

Transfer Rate: 42.3%

In the NFL: (2) 2020 DB Jaylon Jones (Rivals/247/ESPN) and 2020 DB Antonio Johnson (Rivals/247)

6. Miami

Total number of super blue chips: 11

Transfers: (2) 2023 OL Javion Cohen (Alabama - Rivals/247/On3) and 2024 QB Cameron Ward (Washington State - Rivals/247/On3)

2024: (6) DB Zaquan Patterson (Rivals/247), DT Justin Scott (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DE Armondo Blount (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), WR Joshisa Trader (Rivals/ESPN), WR Ny Carr (Rivals/247/ESPN) and Edge Marquise Lightfoot (On3/247)

2023: (3) OL Francis Mauigoa (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), OL Samson Okunlola (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and DT Rueben Bain (Rivals/247/ESPN)

2022: None

2021: None

2020: None

Transferred Out/No Longer in the Program: (2) 2020 DB Avante Williams (Rivals/ESPN) and 2021 QB Jake Garcia (Rivals/ESPN)

Transfer Rate: 14.3%

In the NFL: (2) 2021 DB James Williams (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and 2021 DT Leonard Taylor (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN)

T7. Clemson

Total number of super blue chips: 10

Transfers: None

2024: (2) LB Sammy Brown (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and WR Bryant Wesco (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN)

2023: (3) DT Peter Woods (Rivals/247/ESPN), DE Tomarrion Parker (Rivals/247) and DL Vic Burley (247/ESPN)

2022: (2) QB Cade Klubnik (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and DB Jeadyn Lukus (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN)

2021: (2) LB Barrett Carter (Rivals/247/On3) and OL Tristan Leigh (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN)

2020: (1) DT Demonte Capehart (Rivals/247/ESPN)

Transferred Out/No Longer in the Program: (4) 2022 CB Toriano Pride (247/On3), 2021 WR Beaux Collins (Rivals/ESPN), 2020 RB Demarkus Bowman (Rivals/247/ESPN) and 2020 QB D.J. Uiagalelei (Rivals/247/ESPN)

Transfer Rate: 21.1%

In the NFL: (5) 2021 RB Will Shipley (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2021 LB Jeremiah Trotter (247/On3/ESPN), 2020 DT Bryan Breese (Rivals/247/ESPN), 2020 DE Myles Murphy (Rivals/247/ESPN) and 2020 LB Trenton Simpson (Rivals/247)'

T7. Oklahoma:

Total number of super blue chips: 10

Transfers: (1) 2023 DE Dasan McCulloch (Indiana - Rivals/247/On3)

2024: (2) DT David Stone (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and RB Taylor Tatum (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN)

2023: (5) QB Jackson Arnold (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DB Peyton Bowen (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DE Adepoju Adebawore (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), LB Samuel Omosigho (247/On3), WR Jaquaize Pettaway (247/ESPN)

2022: (1) CB Gentry Williams (On3/ESPN)

2021: (1) DB Billy Bowman (Rivals/247)

2020: None

Transferred Out/No Longer in the Program: (5) 2023 OL Cayden Green (Rivals/ESPN), 2021 LB Clayton Smith (Rivals/247/On3), 2021 QB Caleb Williams (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2021 WR Mario Williams (Rivals/On3/ESPN), and 2020 OL Nate Anderson (247/ESPN)

Transfer Rate: 31.3%

In the NFL: 2020 OT Andrew Raym (247/ESPN)

T7. Oregon:

Total number of super blue chips: 10

Transfers: (4) 2023 DE Jordan Burch (South Carolina - Rivals/247). 2024 WR Evan Stewart (Texas A&M - Rivals/247/On3), 2024 QB Dante Moore (UCLA - Rivals/247) and 2024 QB Dillon Gabriel (OU - Rivals/On3)

2024: (2) Edge Elijah Rushing (247/ESPN) and DL Aydin Breland (247ESPN))

2023: (2) DE Matayo Uiagalelei (Rivals/247/ESPN) and Jurrian Dickey (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN)

2022: (1) OL Josh Conerly Jr. (Rivals/247/ESPN)

2021: (0) None

2020: (1) DB Donta Manning (Rivals/247/ESPN)

Transferred Out/No Longer in the Program: (4) 2021 QB Ty Thompson (Rivals/On3/ESPN), 2021 OL Kingsley Suamataia (Rivals/247/On3), 2022 CB Jalil Yucker (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), and 2020 LB Justin Flowe (Rivals/247/ESPN)

Transfer Rate: 23.5%

In the NFL: (2) 2021 WR Troy Franklin (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and 2020 LB Noah Sewell (Rivals/247/ESPN)

10. LSU

Total number of super blue chips: 9

Transfers: (2) 2023 WR Aaron Anderson (Alabama - Rivals/247/On3)

2024: (2) DT Dominick McKinley (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and TE Trey'Dez Green (Rivals/247/On3)

2023: (2) DB Javien Toviano (Rivals/247/ESPN) and Edge Dashawn Womack (247/On3/ESPN)

2022: (2) LB Harold Perkins (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and OL Will Campbell (Rivals/247/ESPN)

2021: (2) DT Maaron Smith (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and DB Sage Ryan (Rivals/247/ESPN),

2020: None

Transferred Out/No Longer in the Program: (6) 2023 OL Zalance Heard (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2022 DE Quency Wiggins (Rivals/247), 2022 QB Walker Howard (Rivals/ESPN), 2020 TE Arik Gilbert (Rivals/247/ESPN) and 2020 DB Eli Ricks (Rivals/247/ESPN)

Transfer Rate: 31.6%

In the NFL: (3) 2020 WR Kayshon Boutte (Rivals/247/ESPN), 2021 DL Jaquelin Roy (247/ESPN), 2020 Edge BJ Ojulari (247)

No. 3 - Breaking Down Transfer Rates ...

Using the data from the pool of players that make up the Mega list (every single super blue chip by every single service), here's a look at the transfer rates of super blue chips from high school recruiting.

The thing you'll notice about this set of numbers is that a coaching change is almost always going to do a number on a school's numbers.

Note: Texas ranks 16th among schools with 10+ super blue chips with an 11.1% transfer rate. The Longhorns actually have a 0.00% transfer rate among consensus super blue chips (ranked by multiple services)

420502414_3387363744836186_1682550984929620556_n.png


No. 4 - Setting the record straight ...

One thing you commonly hear from detractors of the Portal is that it's a system that's unevenly weighted in favor of the big boys of college football.

The numbers expose that suggestion to be a falsehood. The reality is that the Portal is the closest thing to socialism that college football has ever seen with regard to talent distribution.

Take a look at the breakdown of Rivals top 50 commitments from the Portal:

420649398_376483538354140_5868723491743143154_n.jpg


In what other world is Purdue and TCU landing the same number of high-end talents as Alabama? A look at the numbers will show you that Duke and Tulane have the same number of top-50 transfers as Georgia and Notre Dame.

Even if you look at the very top of the list with schools like Oregon, Ole Miss and Texas, we're merely talking about a difference of a couple of players vs. the rest of their peers who are active in the Portal.

There are issues with the Portal that need to be addressed, but the fairness of talent distribution simply isn't one of them. If anything, it gives schools that almost never have a chance to land a top-50 prospect in high school recruiting to have a fairer shot at bringing in high-end talent.

No. 5 - Texas Transfer Rankings ...

Here's a look at the ranking of each Texas transfer addition:

WR - Isaiah Bond (Alabama)

Rivals: No. 14 overall, No. 2 WR
On3 - No. 7 overall, No. 3 WR
247 - No. 4 overall, No.1 WR

WR - Matthew Golden (Houston)

Rivals: No. 49 overall, No. 9 WR
On3 - No. 56 overall, No. 12 WR
247 - No. 42 overall, No. 7 WR

WR - Silas Bolden (Oregon State)

Rivals: No. 253 overall, No. 48 WR
On3 - No. 103 overall, No. 20 WR
247 - No. 119 overall, No. 25 WR

TE - Amari Niblack

Rivals: No. 41 overall, No. 1 TE
On3 - No. 37 overall, No. 1 TE
247 - No. 30 overall, No. 1 TE

Edge - Trey Moore (UTSA)

Rivals: No. 59 overall, No. 5 LB
On3 - No. 8 overall, No. 2 Edge
247 - No. 20 overall, No. 4 Edge

LB - Kendrick Blackshire (Alabama)

Rivals: No. 924 overall, No. 98 LB
On3 - No. 322 overall, No. 31 LB
247 - No. 254 overall, No. 21 WR

DB - Andrew Mukuba (Clemson)

Rivals: No. 25 overall, No. 6 DB
On3 - No. 44 overall, No. 3 S
247 - No. 25 overall, No. 2 S

No. 6 - Six Random Longhorns Scattershots...

a. It sounds like Rod Wright has done everything possible to keep his focus on the Houston Texans, but now that the NFL season is over, I'm expecting an announcement for him as the new DL coach in the next 24-48 hours.

b. If you read my Instant Analysis, you'll know I pretty much love new 2025 commitment Lance Jackson. Although he's not yet ranked as a super blue chip by the national services, I believe that's where his ranking will eventually settle.

c. Junior Days sure hit different when you enter them with expectations of almost a minimal amount of action to actually occur. Hell, we didn't even have the staged photos to laugh at this weekend.

d. I don't know if Rodney Terry needed to say he was sorry on Saturday for the whole "Horns Down" mini-controversy from earlier in the week, but that he fell on the sword shows that he's a pretty good dude and easy to root for. Honestly, I didn't think it was that big of a deal.

e. Say it with me... (Tiaoalii Savea) Tee-Oh-Uh-Lee-E-Saw-Vay-Uh.

f. I still think Texas is the favorite for Washington transfer CB Jabbar Muhammad, but Oregon might throw a Brinks truck at him.

No. 7 – Updated Texas Scholarship Board …

The Longhorns are sitting at 88 at the moment.

415798339_360386893601660_1558232520704743359_n.png


No. 8 – BUY or SELL …

giphy.gif




(Buy) I think Texas is about to fill some of the needs in the next month, but some of the needs might be filled in the spring.



(Buy) Everything about that situation is ick and there's only so much ick that Texas athletics should live with. BTW, whatever happened to the audio that would clear him? Screw that dude.



(Buy) The talent is there to make a run at it.



(Sell) Not for me. I'm all for second chances (in time), but a scholarship at Texas represents a first chance.



(Sell) I think he's taking an NFL job. I'm surprised that he's not been named the Chargers coach.



(Buy) Yes, it won't be just three dudes and an occasional snap for No. 4 next year.



(Buy) It's either him or his cousin.



(Buy) Probably. I've had about 20 questions today asking if I think this offense is better than last year's.



(Buy) Maybe not be in a huge role, but I could see him getting 150-200 snaps.



(Buy) Probably.



(Sell) Bad ass players want to play with bad ass players. Did you see how many super blue chips that Georgia has?



(Sell) Strong-side ends.



(Sell) Mack literally psyched opposing coaches out to the point that they wouldn't even decide who to recruit until after Mack selected who he wanted. That's not hyperbole.

No. 9 – Scattershooting on anything and everything …

... Good season, Texans. Getting outclassed by the No. 1 seed in the second half of the Division Round is nothing to shake your head at. It happens. Deep down, I'm quite envious of your potential future.

... Was that the Lamar Jackson playoff breakout game we've all been waiting for?

... I enjoyed Baker Mayfield's season ending with him throwing for an interception. Am I a bad person?

... Jahmyr Gibbs is closer to Bijan Robinson as a player than I would have ever guessed.

... I could really do without the Cowboys jokes that have come with the Detroit win...

... What on earth was Jordan Love thinking by throwing the ball? Live to play another down, my man.

... I still doubt Brock Purdy and nothing about the game against the Packers was overly convincing.

... Looks like former Alabama OL Kadyn Proctor is happy to be home in Iowa. Good for him.

... Is this the year that Bayern Munich gets toppled in the Bundesliga and is it going to be someone other than Dortmund that does it? All eyes remain on you, Bayern Leverkusen?

... Dana White likely won't let it happen, but my biggest takeaway from UFV 207 was that new champion Dricus Du Plessis and dethroned champion Sean Strickland should immediately fight again.

... It's a life-changing moment for Lane.


... I don't care, she can do whatever she wants...


No. 10 - Phil Collins Top 10 Songs ...

It's been too long since I've spent a week listening to the world's No. 1 collector of all things Alamo-related.

Let's do this!

Honorable Mention: A Groovy Kind of Love, The Roof Is Leaking, Don't Lose My Number, Separate Lives, Two Hearts, Can't Stop Loving You, If Leaving Me Is Easy and I Missed Again

10. You Can't Hurry Love

Phil covering the Diana Ross and the Supremes classic? Yes, please.

9. Susssudio

I was today's years old when I learned that some people think this song sounds like Price's 1999.

8. Take Me Home

It was a show-closer at his concerts for a long time. Maybe ranked too low?

7. I Don't Care Any More

Phil let his ex have it on this one.

6. One More Night

One of the best songs on nearly a perfect album - No Jacket Required.

5. I Wish It Would Rain Down

One of the rare times when the guitar overshadows the drums in a Collins hit. He can thank Eric Clapton for that.

4. Another Day in Paradise

The best song about homelessness ever written?

3. Easy Lover

Pound for pound, it might be the No. 1 banger in his entire catalog.

2. Against All Odds

My personal favorite Collins song and one of my go-to karaoke songs.

1. In the Air Tonight

If aliens came down and asked to hear the best Phil Collins song, we'd give them the one that YouTubers lost their minds to the most.
Great stuff and great analysis!
 
  • Love
Reactions: Ketchum
ee0e3a40b744e2eebc3b4d949eaa9055x.jpg

I went down the damn rabbit hole this weekend and I can only hope the effort was worth it.

Considering the final rankings for the 2024 recruiting year aren't complete and big-time players are still entering the Portal, the reality is that I'm going to need to update the data in a week or two.

Yet, folks were asking about the updated Super Blue Chip rankings and I have to admit … I was kind of wondering how the rankings looked as well.

Therefore, into the recruiting rankings abyss I leaped, but this time I decided to add a twist ... I included the rankings from all of the major services ... Rivals, 247, On3 and ESPN. For those keeping score, here were the blue chips that were used in compiling the data:

2024: Rivals (6.0+), 247 (95+), ESPN (85+), On3 (95+)
2023: Rivals (6.0+), 247 (96+), ESPN (86+), On3 (96+)
2022: Rivals (6.0+), 247 (96+), ESPN (86+), On3 (96+)
2021: Rivals (6.0+), 247 (96+), ESPN (86+), On3 (96+)
2020: Rivals (6.0+), 247 (96+), ESPN (86+), On3 (No rankings)

What I tried to do was keep the numbers as similar to the total number of prospects that usually make up the top two tiers of the rankings (5 stars and high 4-stars), which typically totals somewhere between 65-69 prospects each season. Two quick notes ...

a. Each service has fewer 2024 prospects listed in its highest tiers, but that should flatten out when each service releases its final rankings now that all of the post-season bowl games have been completed.

b. Each service has a different number of players ranked among its top tiers. In 2001, Rivals had 63 players with at least a 6.0+ grade, while On3 had 71 players with a 96+ grade, 247 had 66 players with a 96+ rankings and ESPN had 76 players with a 86+ ranking. The numbers slightly fluctuate with each service in all of the years sampled.

What I ended up creating was two sets of numbers, starting with ...

Consensus Super Blue Chip Rankings

Can a player really be a super blue chip prospect if only one of the four services views him as a super blue chip prospect?

I decided that it would be fun to see what the numbers look like if we counted only players that were ranked as a super blue chip prospect by at least two of the four services. The same is true with transfers, as an incoming transfer had to be ranked in the top 32 by at least two services.

After years of domination by Alabama and Georgia, there's a new leader in the clubhouse.

420828978_264064643365697_8400841727712358615_n.png


Super Blue Chips (Mass Quantities)

This is what the numbers look like when we include every single prospect that was ranked as a Super Blue Chip, whether it was by all four services or just one.

For instance, Colin Simmons counts towards the 2024 numbers with a super blue chip ranking by all four services, while Jerrick Gibson makes the list with only ESPN labeling him as a super blue chip.

There are only four schools in the nation with 30 or more super blue chip prospects across all services and Steve Sarkisian has his Longhorns in that group in pretty short order.

420464759_1527503631371718_1237361927050830546_n.png


No. 2 - Breaking down the Consensus Super Blue Chip Chart ...

In case any of you wondered what the world looked like, here's the full breakdown of the top 10 schools in the updated Super Duper Blue Chip Chart.

(Feel free to skip to section 3 if this is too much for you.)

1. Ohio State

Total number of super blue chips: 29

Transfers: (5) 2023 CB Davison Igbinosun (Ole Miss - 247/On3), 2024 DB Caleb Downs (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2024 RB Quinshon Judkins (Ole Miss - Rivals/247/On3), 2024 QB Will Howard (Kansas State - Rivals/On3) and 2024 QB Julian Sayin (Ohio State - Rivals/247/On3)

2024: (6) WR Jeremiah Smith (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DB Aaron Scott (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), WR Mylan Graham (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), QB Air Noland (Rivals/247/ESPN), DE Eddrick Houston (Rivals/247//ESPN) and DB Bryce West (Rivals/ESPN)

2023: (6) WR Carnell Tate (Rivals/247/On3), WR Brandon Inniss (Rivals/247/ESPN)), DT Jason Moore (Rivals/247), DB Jermaine Matthews (Rivals/On3/ESPN), DB Calvin Simpson-Hunt (Rivals/On3), and WR Noah Rogers (247/On3/ESPN)

2022: (4) LB CJ Hicks (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), Ath Alex Styles (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), QB Devin Brown (Rivals/247/On3/) and DE Kenyatta Jackson (Rivals/On3)

2021: (7) OL Donovan Jackson (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), WR Emeka Egbuke (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DE JT Tuimoloau (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DE Jack Sawyer (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), RB TreVeyon Henderson (247/On3/ESPN), CB Jordan Hancock (247/On3) and WR Jayden Ballard (247/On3/ESPN)

2020: (1) WR Gee Scott Jr. (Rivals/247)

Transferred Out/No Longer in the Program: (5) 2022 Edge (247/ESPN), 2021 QB Quinn Ewers (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2021 CB JK Johnson (Rivals/On3), 2021 QB Kyle McCord (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and 2020 WR Julian Fleming (Rivals/247/ESPN)

Transfer Rate: 13.9%

In the NFL: (4) 2021 DL MIke Hall (On3/247), 2020 OL Paris Johnson (Rivals/247/ESPN), 2020 WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba (Rivals/247) and 2020 QB CJ Stroud (Rivals/247)

2. Georgia

Total number of super blue chips: 26

Transfers: (2) 2023 WR Dominic Lovett (Missouri - Rivals/247/On3) and 2024 RB Trevor Etienne (Florida - Rivals/247/On3)

2024: (6) DB Ellis Robinson (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), LB Justin Williams (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DB K.J. Bolden (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DL Joseph Jonah-Ajonye (247/On3/ESPN), LB Chris Cole (247/On3/ESPN) and TE Jaden Reddell (On3/ESPN)

2023: (9) DE Samuel M'Pemba (Rivals/ESPN), DE Damon Wilson (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DT Jordan Hall (Rivals/247/On3), DB A.J. Harris (Rivals/247/ESPN), OL Monroe Freeling (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), LB Raylen Wilson (247/On3/ESPN), S Joenel Aguero (247/On3/ESPN), LB Troy Bowles (247/ESPN) and TE Pearce Spurlin (Rivals/On3)

2022: (7) DB Jaheim Singletary (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DL Mykel Williams (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DB Daylen Everette (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DB Malaki Starks (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), RB Brandon Robinson (Rivals/ESPN), OL Earnest Greene (Rivals/247/On3) and LB Jalon Walker (247/On3/ESPN)

2021: (1) LB Smael Mondon (247/On3/ESPN)

2020: (1) WR Arian Smith (247/ESPN)

Transferred Out/No Longer in the Program: (6) 2022 Bear Alexander (Rivals/On3/ESPN), 2022 LB Marvin Jones Jr. (Rivals/247/On3), 2021 QB Brock Vandagriff (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2021 LB Xavian Sorey (Rivals/247/ESPN), 2021 DB Nyland Green (247/On3), 2020 LB MJ Sherman (Rivals/ESPN)

Transfer Rate: 15.8%

In the NFL: (6) 2021 TE Brock Bowers (ON3/247), 2021 OL Amarius Sims (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2020 CB Kelee Ringo (Rivals/247/ESPN), 2020 OL Broderick Jones (Rivals/247ESPN), 2020 DL Jalen Carter (Rivals/247/ESPN) and 2020 TE Darnell Washington (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN)

3. Alabama

Total number of super blue chips: 23

Transfers: (2) CB Domani Jackson (RivalsOn3) and DL LT Overton (Texas A&M - Rivals/247)

2024: (3) DB Jaylen Mbakwe (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DB Zabien Brown (Rivals/247) and TE Caleb Odom (247/On3)

2023: (8) DE Yhonzae Pierre (Rivals/247/On3), DE Keon Kelly (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DB Jahlil Hurley (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), WR Jalen Hale (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), RB Justice Haynes (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DT James Smith (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DE Qua Russaw (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and DL Jordan Renaud (ON3/ESPN)

2022: (6) DE Jeremiah Alexander (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), LB Jihaad Campbell (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), WR Emmanuel Henderson (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), QB Ty Simpson (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), OL Tyler Booker (247/On3/ESPN) and DL Khurtis Perry (247/ESPN)

2021: (3) LB Keanu Koht (Rivals/247/On3), LB Deontae Lawson (On3/247) and DT Damon Payne (Rivals/247/ESPN)

2020: (1) DT Tim Smith (Rivals/247)

Transferred Out/No Longer in the Program: (18) 2024 QB Julian Sayin (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2023 DB Caleb Downs (Rivals/247/ESPN), 2023 OL Kadyn Proctor (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2023 DB Dezz Ricks (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2022 WR Aaron Anderson (Rivals/247/On3), 2022 WR Shazz Preston (Rivals/ESPN), 2022 WR Isaiah Bond (On3/247), 2022 LB Shawn Murphy (Rivals/ESPN), 2022 OL Elijah Pritchett (Rivals/247/On3), 2021 OL Tommy Brockermeyer (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2021 WR Agiye Hall (On3/ESPN), 2021 RB Camar Wheaton (Rivals/247/ESPN), 2021 WR Jojo Earle (Rivals/On3/ESPN), 2021 Christian Leary (Rivals/On3), 2021 DL Monkell Goodwine (Rivals/On3), 2021 WR Ja'Corey Brooks (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2020 LB Drew Sanders (Rivals/247/ESPN) and 2020 LB Demouy Kennedy (Rivals/247)

Transfer Rate: 37.5%

Headed to the In the NFL: (9) Transfer WR Jermaine Burton, 2021 OL J.C. Latham (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2021 DB Kool-Aid McKinstry (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2021 LB Dallas Turner (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2021 DB Terrion Arnold (Rivals/247/On3), 2020 DE Will Anderson (Rivals/247/ESPN), 2020 QB Bryce Young (Rivals/247/ESPN), 2020 LB Chris Braswell (Rivals/247/ESPN) and 2020 Jase McClellan (Rivals/ESPN)

4. Texas

Total number of super blue chips: 21

Transfers: (4) 2023 QB Quinn Ewers (Ohio State - 247/On3), 2024 WR Isaiah Bond (Alabama - Rivals/247/On3), 2024 DB Andrew Mukuba (Clemson - Rivals/247/On3) and 2024 DE Trey Moore (UTSA - 247/On3)

2024: (5) DE Colin Simmons (Rivals/247/On3/ESP)), OL Brandon Baker (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), WR Ryan Wingo (Rivals/247/ESPN), CB Kobe Black (Rivals/247/ESPN) and DB Xavier Filsaime (Rivals/247/ESPN)

2023: (7) QB Arch Manning (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), WR Johntay Cook (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), LB Anthony Hill (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), RB Cedric Baxter (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DB Malik Muhammad (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), S Derek Williams (247/On3/ESPN) and Ath Jelani McDonald (247/On3)

2022: (4) OL DJ Campbell (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), OL Kelvin Banks (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) , CB Terrance Brooks (Rivals/On3) and OL Neto Umeozulu (On3/ESPN)

2021: None

2020: (1) DL Alfred Collins (247/ESPN)

Transferred Out/No Longer in the Program: (1) Ja'Quinden Jackson (247/ESPN)

Transfer Rate: 4.00%

In the NFL: (4) Transfer WR Adonai Mitchell, 2021 TE Ja'Tavian Sanders (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2021 WR Xavier Worthy (On3/ESPN) and 2020 RB Bijan Robinson (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN)

5. Texas A&M

Total number of super blue chips: 14

Transfers: (2) DE Nic Scourton (Purdue - Rivals/247/On37) and DB Desmond Ricks (Alabama - Rivals/247)

2024: (1) Ath Terry Bussey (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN)

2023: (3) DT David Hicks Jr. (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), RB Rueben Owens (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and OL Chase Bisontis (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN)

2022: (6) DB Jacoby Matthews (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DL Shemar Stewart (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), QB Conner Weigman (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DT Gabriel Brownlow-Dindy (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DE Enai White (247/On3/ESPN) and DB Bryce Anderson (247/On3/ESPN)

2021: (2) DL Shemar Turner (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and OL Reuben Fatheree II (Rivals/On3)

2020: None

Transferred Out/No Longer in the Program: (11) 2022 DL Walter Nolan (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2022 WR Evan Stewart (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2022 DE Lebbeus Overton (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2022 CB Denver Harris (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2022 DL Anthony Lucas (Rivals/247/On3), 2022 WR Chris Marshall (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2022 OL PJ Williams (247/ESPN), 2021 RB LJ Johnson (Rivals/247), 2021 DE Tunmise Adeleye (Rivals/ESPN), 2020 WR Demond Demas (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and 2020 DE Donell Harris (Rivals/247)

Transfer Rate: 42.3%

In the NFL: (2) 2020 DB Jaylon Jones (Rivals/247/ESPN) and 2020 DB Antonio Johnson (Rivals/247)

6. Miami

Total number of super blue chips: 11

Transfers: (2) 2023 OL Javion Cohen (Alabama - Rivals/247/On3) and 2024 QB Cameron Ward (Washington State - Rivals/247/On3)

2024: (6) DB Zaquan Patterson (Rivals/247), DT Justin Scott (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DE Armondo Blount (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), WR Joshisa Trader (Rivals/ESPN), WR Ny Carr (Rivals/247/ESPN) and Edge Marquise Lightfoot (On3/247)

2023: (3) OL Francis Mauigoa (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), OL Samson Okunlola (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and DT Rueben Bain (Rivals/247/ESPN)

2022: None

2021: None

2020: None

Transferred Out/No Longer in the Program: (2) 2020 DB Avante Williams (Rivals/ESPN) and 2021 QB Jake Garcia (Rivals/ESPN)

Transfer Rate: 14.3%

In the NFL: (2) 2021 DB James Williams (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and 2021 DT Leonard Taylor (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN)

T7. Clemson

Total number of super blue chips: 10

Transfers: None

2024: (2) LB Sammy Brown (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and WR Bryant Wesco (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN)

2023: (3) DT Peter Woods (Rivals/247/ESPN), DE Tomarrion Parker (Rivals/247) and DL Vic Burley (247/ESPN)

2022: (2) QB Cade Klubnik (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and DB Jeadyn Lukus (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN)

2021: (2) LB Barrett Carter (Rivals/247/On3) and OL Tristan Leigh (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN)

2020: (1) DT Demonte Capehart (Rivals/247/ESPN)

Transferred Out/No Longer in the Program: (4) 2022 CB Toriano Pride (247/On3), 2021 WR Beaux Collins (Rivals/ESPN), 2020 RB Demarkus Bowman (Rivals/247/ESPN) and 2020 QB D.J. Uiagalelei (Rivals/247/ESPN)

Transfer Rate: 21.1%

In the NFL: (5) 2021 RB Will Shipley (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2021 LB Jeremiah Trotter (247/On3/ESPN), 2020 DT Bryan Breese (Rivals/247/ESPN), 2020 DE Myles Murphy (Rivals/247/ESPN) and 2020 LB Trenton Simpson (Rivals/247)'

T7. Oklahoma:

Total number of super blue chips: 10

Transfers: (1) 2023 DE Dasan McCulloch (Indiana - Rivals/247/On3)

2024: (2) DT David Stone (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and RB Taylor Tatum (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN)

2023: (5) QB Jackson Arnold (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DB Peyton Bowen (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), DE Adepoju Adebawore (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), LB Samuel Omosigho (247/On3), WR Jaquaize Pettaway (247/ESPN)

2022: (1) CB Gentry Williams (On3/ESPN)

2021: (1) DB Billy Bowman (Rivals/247)

2020: None

Transferred Out/No Longer in the Program: (5) 2023 OL Cayden Green (Rivals/ESPN), 2021 LB Clayton Smith (Rivals/247/On3), 2021 QB Caleb Williams (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2021 WR Mario Williams (Rivals/On3/ESPN), and 2020 OL Nate Anderson (247/ESPN)

Transfer Rate: 31.3%

In the NFL: 2020 OT Andrew Raym (247/ESPN)

T7. Oregon:

Total number of super blue chips: 10

Transfers: (4) 2023 DE Jordan Burch (South Carolina - Rivals/247). 2024 WR Evan Stewart (Texas A&M - Rivals/247/On3), 2024 QB Dante Moore (UCLA - Rivals/247) and 2024 QB Dillon Gabriel (OU - Rivals/On3)

2024: (2) Edge Elijah Rushing (247/ESPN) and DL Aydin Breland (247ESPN))

2023: (2) DE Matayo Uiagalelei (Rivals/247/ESPN) and Jurrian Dickey (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN)

2022: (1) OL Josh Conerly Jr. (Rivals/247/ESPN)

2021: (0) None

2020: (1) DB Donta Manning (Rivals/247/ESPN)

Transferred Out/No Longer in the Program: (4) 2021 QB Ty Thompson (Rivals/On3/ESPN), 2021 OL Kingsley Suamataia (Rivals/247/On3), 2022 CB Jalil Yucker (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), and 2020 LB Justin Flowe (Rivals/247/ESPN)

Transfer Rate: 23.5%

In the NFL: (2) 2021 WR Troy Franklin (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and 2020 LB Noah Sewell (Rivals/247/ESPN)

10. LSU

Total number of super blue chips: 9

Transfers: (2) 2023 WR Aaron Anderson (Alabama - Rivals/247/On3)

2024: (2) DT Dominick McKinley (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and TE Trey'Dez Green (Rivals/247/On3)

2023: (2) DB Javien Toviano (Rivals/247/ESPN) and Edge Dashawn Womack (247/On3/ESPN)

2022: (2) LB Harold Perkins (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and OL Will Campbell (Rivals/247/ESPN)

2021: (2) DT Maaron Smith (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN) and DB Sage Ryan (Rivals/247/ESPN),

2020: None

Transferred Out/No Longer in the Program: (6) 2023 OL Zalance Heard (Rivals/247/On3/ESPN), 2022 DE Quency Wiggins (Rivals/247), 2022 QB Walker Howard (Rivals/ESPN), 2020 TE Arik Gilbert (Rivals/247/ESPN) and 2020 DB Eli Ricks (Rivals/247/ESPN)

Transfer Rate: 31.6%

In the NFL: (3) 2020 WR Kayshon Boutte (Rivals/247/ESPN), 2021 DL Jaquelin Roy (247/ESPN), 2020 Edge BJ Ojulari (247)

No. 3 - Breaking Down Transfer Rates ...

Using the data from the pool of players that make up the Mega list (every single super blue chip by every single service), here's a look at the transfer rates of super blue chips from high school recruiting.

The thing you'll notice about this set of numbers is that a coaching change is almost always going to do a number on a school's numbers.

Note: Texas ranks 16th among schools with 10+ super blue chips with an 11.1% transfer rate. The Longhorns actually have a 0.00% transfer rate among consensus super blue chips (ranked by multiple services)

420502414_3387363744836186_1682550984929620556_n.png


No. 4 - Setting the record straight ...

One thing you commonly hear from detractors of the Portal is that it's a system that's unevenly weighted in favor of the big boys of college football.

The numbers expose that suggestion to be a falsehood. The reality is that the Portal is the closest thing to socialism that college football has ever seen with regard to talent distribution.

Take a look at the breakdown of Rivals top 50 commitments from the Portal:

420649398_376483538354140_5868723491743143154_n.jpg


In what other world is Purdue and TCU landing the same number of high-end talents as Alabama? A look at the numbers will show you that Duke and Tulane have the same number of top-50 transfers as Georgia and Notre Dame.

Even if you look at the very top of the list with schools like Oregon, Ole Miss and Texas, we're merely talking about a difference of a couple of players vs. the rest of their peers who are active in the Portal.

There are issues with the Portal that need to be addressed, but the fairness of talent distribution simply isn't one of them. If anything, it gives schools that almost never have a chance to land a top-50 prospect in high school recruiting to have a fairer shot at bringing in high-end talent.

No. 5 - Texas Transfer Rankings ...

Here's a look at the ranking of each Texas transfer addition:

WR - Isaiah Bond (Alabama)

Rivals: No. 14 overall, No. 2 WR
On3 - No. 7 overall, No. 3 WR
247 - No. 4 overall, No.1 WR

WR - Matthew Golden (Houston)

Rivals: No. 49 overall, No. 9 WR
On3 - No. 56 overall, No. 12 WR
247 - No. 42 overall, No. 7 WR

WR - Silas Bolden (Oregon State)

Rivals: No. 253 overall, No. 48 WR
On3 - No. 103 overall, No. 20 WR
247 - No. 119 overall, No. 25 WR

TE - Amari Niblack

Rivals: No. 41 overall, No. 1 TE
On3 - No. 37 overall, No. 1 TE
247 - No. 30 overall, No. 1 TE

Edge - Trey Moore (UTSA)

Rivals: No. 59 overall, No. 5 LB
On3 - No. 8 overall, No. 2 Edge
247 - No. 20 overall, No. 4 Edge

LB - Kendrick Blackshire (Alabama)

Rivals: No. 924 overall, No. 98 LB
On3 - No. 322 overall, No. 31 LB
247 - No. 254 overall, No. 21 WR

DB - Andrew Mukuba (Clemson)

Rivals: No. 25 overall, No. 6 DB
On3 - No. 44 overall, No. 3 S
247 - No. 25 overall, No. 2 S

No. 6 - Six Random Longhorns Scattershots...

a. It sounds like Rod Wright has done everything possible to keep his focus on the Houston Texans, but now that the NFL season is over, I'm expecting an announcement for him as the new DL coach in the next 24-48 hours.

b. If you read my Instant Analysis, you'll know I pretty much love new 2025 commitment Lance Jackson. Although he's not yet ranked as a super blue chip by the national services, I believe that's where his ranking will eventually settle.

c. Junior Days sure hit different when you enter them with expectations of almost a minimal amount of action to actually occur. Hell, we didn't even have the staged photos to laugh at this weekend.

d. I don't know if Rodney Terry needed to say he was sorry on Saturday for the whole "Horns Down" mini-controversy from earlier in the week, but that he fell on the sword shows that he's a pretty good dude and easy to root for. Honestly, I didn't think it was that big of a deal.

e. Say it with me... (Tiaoalii Savea) Tee-Oh-Uh-Lee-E-Saw-Vay-Uh.

f. I still think Texas is the favorite for Washington transfer CB Jabbar Muhammad, but Oregon might throw a Brinks truck at him.

No. 7 – Updated Texas Scholarship Board …

The Longhorns are sitting at 88 at the moment.

415798339_360386893601660_1558232520704743359_n.png


No. 8 – BUY or SELL …

giphy.gif




(Buy) I think Texas is about to fill some of the needs in the next month, but some of the needs might be filled in the spring.



(Buy) Everything about that situation is ick and there's only so much ick that Texas athletics should live with. BTW, whatever happened to the audio that would clear him? Screw that dude.



(Buy) The talent is there to make a run at it.



(Sell) Not for me. I'm all for second chances (in time), but a scholarship at Texas represents a first chance.



(Sell) I think he's taking an NFL job. I'm surprised that he's not been named the Chargers coach.



(Buy) Yes, it won't be just three dudes and an occasional snap for No. 4 next year.



(Buy) It's either him or his cousin.



(Buy) Probably. I've had about 20 questions today asking if I think this offense is better than last year's.



(Buy) Maybe not be in a huge role, but I could see him getting 150-200 snaps.



(Buy) Probably.



(Sell) Bad ass players want to play with bad ass players. Did you see how many super blue chips that Georgia has?



(Sell) Strong-side ends.



(Sell) Mack literally psyched opposing coaches out to the point that they wouldn't even decide who to recruit until after Mack selected who he wanted. That's not hyperbole.

No. 9 – Scattershooting on anything and everything …

... Good season, Texans. Getting outclassed by the No. 1 seed in the second half of the Division Round is nothing to shake your head at. It happens. Deep down, I'm quite envious of your potential future.

... Was that the Lamar Jackson playoff breakout game we've all been waiting for?

... I enjoyed Baker Mayfield's season ending with him throwing for an interception. Am I a bad person?

... Jahmyr Gibbs is closer to Bijan Robinson as a player than I would have ever guessed.

... I could really do without the Cowboys jokes that have come with the Detroit win...

... What on earth was Jordan Love thinking by throwing the ball? Live to play another down, my man.

... I still doubt Brock Purdy and nothing about the game against the Packers was overly convincing.

... Looks like former Alabama OL Kadyn Proctor is happy to be home in Iowa. Good for him.

... Is this the year that Bayern Munich gets toppled in the Bundesliga and is it going to be someone other than Dortmund that does it? All eyes remain on you, Bayern Leverkusen?

... Dana White likely won't let it happen, but my biggest takeaway from UFV 207 was that new champion Dricus Du Plessis and dethroned champion Sean Strickland should immediately fight again.

... It's a life-changing moment for Lane.


... I don't care, she can do whatever she wants...


No. 10 - Phil Collins Top 10 Songs ...

It's been too long since I've spent a week listening to the world's No. 1 collector of all things Alamo-related.

Let's do this!

Honorable Mention: A Groovy Kind of Love, The Roof Is Leaking, Don't Lose My Number, Separate Lives, Two Hearts, Can't Stop Loving You, If Leaving Me Is Easy and I Missed Again

10. You Can't Hurry Love

Phil covering the Diana Ross and the Supremes classic? Yes, please.

9. Susssudio

I was today's years old when I learned that some people think this song sounds like Price's 1999.

8. Take Me Home

It was a show-closer at his concerts for a long time. Maybe ranked too low?

7. I Don't Care Any More

Phil let his ex have it on this one.

6. One More Night

One of the best songs on nearly a perfect album - No Jacket Required.

5. I Wish It Would Rain Down

One of the rare times when the guitar overshadows the drums in a Collins hit. He can thank Eric Clapton for that.

4. Another Day in Paradise

The best song about homelessness ever written?

3. Easy Lover

Pound for pound, it might be the No. 1 banger in his entire catalog.

2. Against All Odds

My personal favorite Collins song and one of my go-to karaoke songs.

1. In the Air Tonight

If aliens came down and asked to hear the best Phil Collins song, we'd give them the one that YouTubers lost their minds to the most.

Unbelievable ….after all that talk of Bama getting gutted , they still have more blue chip talent than Texas! God damn lolol

And deboar can coach - he might very well still field a 9-10 win team despite a lot of people thinking Bama will suck next year

Excited how far long sark has brought us though!
 
@Ketchum you didn't like the Miami Voice theme song but you name one of the more iconic songs, but far from the only one, from the series as your top Phil Collins song. Maybe you should listen to the 2 Miami Vice series soundtracks. You likely will find several songs that you love.

I don't recall if you included What's Love Got To Do With It in your rankings for Tina Turner. Glenn Frey songs include Smugglers Blues and You Belong To The City. So many other great songs are included on the soundtracks.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Black Scholes
My brother in law(a black hip hop guy) gave me a Phil Collins greatest hits cd for my bday years ago as a gag gift. Or so he thought. I liked Phil Collins but never appreciated him until I listened to the entire cd. Holy smokes. I let my BIL listen to it as well and he got really hooked. To this day he jams him all the time and other artists from that genre. We can go from Tupac and Biggie to Phil and Chicago real quick.
 
You didn't even MENTION Something Happened on the Way to Heaven... The entire song is melodiousness personified. Can't think of a chorus of his that's better. Even ends with a great guitar solo!
 
  • Like
Reactions: Ketchum

speaking of Miami Vice and Phil Collins, his celebrity appearance on Miami Vice was the best of all! even better than Ted Nugent!

"Phil the Shill"

3512"Phil the Shill"John NicolellaPaul DiamondDecember 13, 19856003723.9/39[38]
Switek is forced to put his vendetta against a sleazy con artist (Phil Collins) who swindled him on hold when the Vice Squad learns they may be able to use the grifter to bring down a big-time cocaine dealer.

too bad i can't post the full episode this is some highlights




two of the things that made the show ground breaking was the use of contemporary pop and rock music and many up-and-coming actors and actresses along with many athletes and music stars

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Miami_Vice#Guest_appearances

quite a list! including a show guest starring Bill Russell and Bernard King as his basketball star son.

 
Last edited:
  • Like
Reactions: cnapp and Ketchum
Regarding the offense next year, it may take a while to get everyone in sync but the beautiful thing about the expanded playoff is that a 2 or even a 3-loss SEC team may very well get in the playoff sooner rather than later if the losses are “good” losses to good teams earlier in the season
Though I agree, we aren’t losing 3 games next year.
 
Ketch, I know this took a ton of work, but its absolutely worth it. I am obsessed with this stuff.

Side note, the accumulation under Sark is pretty amazing to see. I think acquiring talent in the new age of college football is his super power, and I don't know if there is a more important one than that these days.
As Anwar wrote about in the Pulpit, Sark’s greatest maybe his willingness to adapt as the college football landscape changes. The next couple of years should prove that one way or another.
 
Texas has more Rivals super blue chips gong into 2024 than at any time in the modern history of recruiting.
When do you consider the”modern history/era” to have begun…2000?
 
As a charter member of the Genesis / Phil Collin’s - UT branch, I give you an A+. Have seen every Genesis or Phil Collin’s tour since 1977 ! Shame the last (2) Genesis tours never made it to Texas. That said, it was fun to travel to see the shows in 2007 and 2022. Your Honorable Mention choices are spot on ! Still remember going to see Against All Offs in the theatre in the early 1980’s and being so pleased that Phil’s career was about to expand outside of Genesis. The underwater scene with Rachel Ward in the movie was memorable too
Rachel Ward got me through my nerdy years in early high school…😎
 
  • Like
Reactions: Ketchum
Been waiting to see the updated superblue ranks…gracias.

Take Me Home should be higher…top 3 IMO
You’ll Be In My Heart should be at least honorable mention
 
ADVERTISEMENT
ADVERTISEMENT