Florida, North Carolina, Nevada, and New Hampshire
Trump likely needs to sweep all 4. Otherwise we needs to pull off a surprise in CO, MI, or PA.
538 has FL, NC, and NV as coin flips. He gives Clinton a 2/3 chance in NH.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
Turnout will be the key. I think it will all come down to NH, meaning either Clinton wins 272-266 or Trump wins 270-268.
Trump likely needs to sweep all 4. Otherwise we needs to pull off a surprise in CO, MI, or PA.
538 has FL, NC, and NV as coin flips. He gives Clinton a 2/3 chance in NH.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
Turnout will be the key. I think it will all come down to NH, meaning either Clinton wins 272-266 or Trump wins 270-268.
